Building Tools for Long-Term Thinking
Global Scenarios exists to help decision-makers think systematically about long-term global scenarios and futures
Our Mission
Serious Foresight for Serious Decisions
Why We Built This
Traditional forecasting tools break down beyond a few years. Climate models, demographic projections, and economic scenarios operate in silos. Decision-makers need integrated, probabilistic tools to explore plausible futures, not point predictions.
We built Global Scenarios because this tool didn't exist. We needed it ourselves.
Not Entertainment
We build tools for government, research institutions, and policy analysts—not casual futurism or entertainment.
Scenario-Based, Not Prediction
We model possible futures based on your assumptions. Every output includes explicit confidence scoring and uncertainty quantification.
Transparent Methodology
All data sources cited, all assumptions inspectable, all models documented. You can interrogate every aspect of a scenario.
Long-Term Horizons
We think in centuries, not quarters. Our platform is designed for 100-1000 year time horizons where traditional forecasting breaks down.
Core Values
Our Principles
How we approach scenario modeling
Every assumption inspectable. All data provenance tracked. No black boxes.
Explicit confidence scoring. Probabilistic language. We model ranges, not points.
No fear-driven narratives. No deterministic predictions. No clickbait futures.
Authoritative data sources. Peer-reviewed methodologies. Reproducible outputs.
You define scenarios. AI explains, never decides. Human judgment remains central.
Free tier for students and educators. Open methodologies. No artificial gatekeeping.
Who We Serve
Built for Decision-Makers
Trusted by Serious Organizations
Our users include government agencies conducting strategic foresight, universities teaching scenario planning, think tanks publishing long-term analysis, and organizations stress-testing climate adaptation strategies.
Government & Policy Analysts
Model long-term impacts of climate policy, migration policy, infrastructure investments across multi-decade horizons.
Research Institutions
Publish-ready scenario outputs with full provenance. Reproducible simulations for academic papers.
Risk Analysts & Strategic Planners
Stress-test organizational strategies against multiple plausible futures. Identify tail risks and opportunity spaces.
Educators & Students
Teaching tool for systems thinking. Students explore feedback loops, cascading effects, and long-term dynamics.
Technical Foundation
How It Works
Built on Solid Foundations
We combine best-in-class technologies: Next.js for performance, FastAPI for simulation speed, MongoDB for caching, CesiumJS for visualization. Everything type-safe and tested.
Geospatial Visualization
CesiumJS-powered 3D globe. Time-dynamic visualizations from 2025 to 3000. Smooth interpolation between time steps.
Probabilistic Models
Python-based simulation engine. Monte Carlo methods for uncertainty quantification. Regional aggregation for privacy.
AI Explanations
LLM-powered natural language summaries. Versioned prompt templates. Cautious, probabilistic language only.
Authoritative Data
CIA World Factbook, UN datasets, World Bank statistics, IPCC climate projections. All provenance tracked.
Boundaries
Ethics & Limitations
What we won't do
We will never predict wars, leaders, specific events, or deterministic outcomes.
We aggregate at regional level. No individual tracking or prediction.
This is not a defense simulation tool. We model abstract governance stability only.
We avoid apocalyptic framing, hype language, or certainty claims.
All AI prompts versioned and inspectable. No opaque decision-making.
We will never sell user data, scenarios, or personally identifiable information.
Contact
Get in Touch
We're Here to Help
Questions about methodology? Want a demo? Interested in enterprise deployment? We respond to all inquiries within 24 hours.
General Inquiries
info@globalscenarios.io
Enterprise Sales
sales@globalscenarios.io
Support
support@globalscenarios.io
Media & Press
press@globalscenarios.io
Acknowledgments
Global Scenarios builds on decades of foresight research. We are grateful to:
- Herman Kahn and the Hudson Institute for pioneering scenario thinking
- The IPCC for shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) framework
- Our World in Data for making complex data accessible
- CesiumJS for world-class geospatial visualization
- FastAPI and Next.js communities for excellent tools
- Open data initiatives worldwide that make this work possible
We stand on the shoulders of giants.
Join Us in Building Better Foresight Tools
Start modeling scenarios today. Free tier available—no credit card required.